Tytuł pozycji:
Fuzzy decision making under transition from silence to confusion
We often fall into silence. After that, we make a decision through confusion, in most cases. In silence, cool mind runs parallel with warm heart. Traversing over these two, the phenomenon arises, chich can be interpreted as a fuzzy event, which can be called waver. In other words, two states of nature develop into conflict, and are covered by a fuzzy event. In confusion, we consider that the states of nature, which had been moving in conflict, not only undergo an inversion, but also a transformation takes place from warm heart into dry mind. It is therefore possible to derive a fuzzy function, resulting from the fuzzification of the transition matrix from silence to confusion, absorbing noise, and taking expectation to link the membership function with the multi-attribute utility function. This short note shows that we can calculate the expected utility by using both the probability of a fuzzy. event and the subjective importance of the two states of nature for the decision maker. Further, we can obtain an optimum action, based on the theory of maximum expected utility.