Gospodarcze dylematy Polski – szansa na przyspieszenie wzrostu a ryzyko dryfu rozwojowego

The objective of the article is to evaluate the macroeconomic situation of Poland as forecast for the years 2015-2017, as well as to attempt to identify the most important conditions for further growth of our economy, especially opportunities to accelerate the development dynamics to such an extent that allows for avoiding the middle income trap. The fact that the gross domestic product (GDP) will in the coming years stay at a moderate level (no more than 3.8 per cent) may indicate that the factors that provided for the GDP growth in Poland to date are being exhausted. In this situation, the further development of the country and the opportunity to avoid the risk of development drift depend on departing from the economic model developed after 1989 to the model of economy based, to a large extent, on knowledge and innovations.